Sensitivity-Based Critical Bus Ranking for Available Transfer Capability Assessment of the Nigeria 330 kV Transmission Network under N−1 Contingencies
Main Article Content
Chinonso S Ezeonye
Uzoma Osuji
Tochukwu Echeme
Background: Increasing loadings and recurring contingency of the 330 kV transmission system in Nigeria have led to concerns about voltage stability and available transfer capability (ATC). The determination of these critical buses, which have a great influence on the network performance, is an important issue for planning, operation, and focused reinforcement.
Aims and Methods: In this study, a sensitivity oriented approach is developed to rank critical bus and ATC assessment for 330 kV Nigerian grid under N−1 contingency conditions. The framework combines voltage deviation evaluation, ATC calculation, sensitivity ranking, cumulative sensitivity contribution analysis, voltage-ATC coupling evaluation, and post-contingency recovery analysis with a first order exponential model.
Result: The findings indicate that system vulnerability is highly location dependent and varies significantly over the network. Bus 22 (Alagbon TS) was identified as the most critical bus with the highest normalised sensitivity index of 1.000 and the most reduction in ATC of 1.65 MW. The cumulative sensitivity analysis showed that the top 15 buses contributed approximately 42% of the total network sensitivity, confirming that vulnerability is concentrated within a relatively small number of locations. The voltage–ATC coupling analysis indicated a strong relationship between the voltage degradation and the transfer capability reduction while the post-contingency recovery assessment proved recovery stability with a recovery time constant of 2.5 s.
Conclusion: The proposed sensitivity based approach is used to identify critical buses and to make targeted reinforcement decisions to enhance the reliability and operational security of the Nigeria 330 kV transmission system.
Al-Anbarri, K. A. (2020). An Approach for Contingency Ranking Analysis of Electrical Power System. IOP Conf. Series: Materials Science and Engineering, 928, 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1088/1757-899X/928/2/022133
Baleboina, G. M. and Mageshvaran, R. (2023). A survey on voltage stability indices for power system transmission and distribution systems. Frontiers in Energy Research, 11, 1-25. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2023.1159410
Chauhan, R. (2023). A Streamlined and Enhanced Iterative Method for analysing Power System Available Transfer Capability and Security. Electric Power Systems Research, 223, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2023.109528
Esobinenwu, C. S. (2025). Comparative Study on Determination of Voltage Stability Limits of the 330kV Nigerian Power Grid Using Four Prediction Optimizers. International Journal of Innovative Scientific & Engineering Technologies Research, 13(3), 25-39. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.16681917
Ezeonye, C. S., Atuchukwu, A. J. and Okonkwo, I. I. (2024). Comparative Effect of Series and Shunt FACTS on the Steady State Improvement of Voltage Profile of the Nigeria 330 kV Transmission System. NIPES Journal of Science and Technology Research, 6(2), 31-42. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11222450
Ezeonye, C. S., Atuchukwu, J. and Okonkwo, I. I. (2024). Effect of Unified Power Flow Controller (UPFC) Integration to Power Transfer on the Nigeria 330 kV Power Network During Line Contingency. International Journal of Novel Research in Engineering and Science, 11(1), 1-11. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10896720
Ezeonye, C. S., Oputa, O., Osuji, U., Onwuka, I. K. and Obi, P. I. (2025). Improvement of Power Transfer with Solar System Integration on Nigeria 330 kV Transmission Grid. NIPES Journal of Science and Technology Research, 7(1), 265-276. https://doi.org/10.37933/nipes/7.1.2025.21
Ezeonye, C. S., Osuji, U. and Adeyi, A. A. (2025). Comparative Assessment of Solar Photovoltaic and FACTS Deployment for Enhancing Available Transfer Capability in Nigeria 330 kV Transmission Grid. IPS Journal of Engineering and Technology, 1(3), 151-157. https://doi.org/10.54117/ijet.v1i3.23.2025
Ezeruigboa, E. N., Ekwueb, A. O. and Anih, L. U. (2021). Voltage Stability Analysis of Nigerian 330kV Power Grid using Static P-V Plots. Nigerian Journal of Technology, 40(1), 70-80. http://dx.doi.org/10.4314/njt.v40i1.11
Fasina, E. T., Adebanji, B. and Oyedokun, J. A. (2024). Power Flow Analysis of the Nigerian Power Grid with FACTS Devices. International Journal of Engineering Research and Development, 20(3), 131-136.
Huangpu, X. L. (2024). Available Transfer Capability Calculation for Wind-Integrated Power Systems Considering Wind Speed Spatiotemporal Correlation and Primal-Dual Interior Point Method. Systems and Control (eess.SY), 1, 1-25. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2409.14093
Meng, X., Zhang, L., Tian, X., Chu, H., Wang, Y. and Shi, Q. (2024). Available Transfer Capability Assessment of Multiarea Power Systems with Conditional Generative Adversarial Network. International Transactions on Electrical Energy Systems, 2024, 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/5225784
Mokred, S., and Wang, Y. (2024). Voltage Stability Assessment and Contingency Ranking in Power Systems Based on Modern Stability Assessment Index. Results in Engineering, 23, 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2024.102548
North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC). (2019). Glossary of terms used in NERC reliability standards. Atlanta, GA, USA: NERC.
Obi, P. I., Ezeonye, C. S., Adeyi, A. A., Onwuka, I. K. and Oputa, O. (2026). Investigating Electricity Power Grid Collapses in Nigeria and Measures to Reduce its Effect during Occurrence. NIPES Journal of Science and Technology Research, 8(1), 197-211. https://doi.org/10.37933/nipes/8.1.2026.2312
Olabisi, P. O. and Ayeni, G. (2023). Voltage Quality Analysis on Power Transmission Networks: A Case Study of 330kV Power Transmission Networks in Nigeria. Journal of Engineering Research and Reports, 25(4), 42-50. https://doi.org/10.9734/jerr/2023/v25i4901
Onyegbadue, I. A., Ukagu, S. N. and Okonkwo, D. O. (2024). Voltage Stability Assessment of Nigeria 330 kV Power Grid: A Critical Bus Perspective. UNIZIK Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, 3(5), 1382-1401.
Wei, C., Jia, L., Wang, X., Cai, Y., Huang, Y., Huang, Y. and Liao, S. (2024). Calculation of the Available Transfer Capability of Trading Channels Based on Power Network Congestion Forecasting. Frontiers in Energy Research, 12, 1-10. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2024.1351306
Weigert-Dalagnol, G. R., Kuiava, R. and Benedito, R. A. (2023). Contingency Ranking Method for Voltage Security Assessment Based on Critical Eigenvalue Trajectory. Electric Power Systems Research, 223, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2023.109531
Werkie, Y. G., Nyakoe, G. N. and Wekesa, C. W. (2025). Power System Voltage Stability Assessment and Control Strategies: State-of-the-Art Review. Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering, 2025, 1-24. https://doi.org/10.1155/jece/6667482
Zhang, X., Yang, H., Zhou, G., Zhao, Y. and Guo, D. (2023). Steady-State Voltage Stability Assessment of New Energy Power Systems with Multi-Quadrant Power Modes. Energy Reports, 9, 3851-3860. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2023.02.093
Zhou, N., Guo, J., Chi, Y., Zheng, X., Wang, Q., Luo, Y. and Ye, J. (2025). Candidate Bus Identification for Voltage Stability Enhancement of Wind-Penetrated Power System Based on Spectral Learning Technique. IET Generation, Transmission and Distribution, 19(1), 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1049/gtd2.13351
Chinonso S Ezeonye , Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, University of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, Umuagwo, Imo State
NIGERIA
Uzoma Osuji , Department of Electrical & Electronic Engineering, University of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, Umuagwo, Imo State, Nigeria
NIGERIA
Tochukwu Echeme , Department of Electrical & Electronic Engineering, University of Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, Umuagwo, Imo State, Nigeria
NIGERIA






